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Equity Market Outlook
October 2023
A Change of Season
For all the exuberance over a potential soft landing, we believe a rising tide of data reveals an economy that is more likely tracing a scenic detour to recession.
Equity Market Outlook
June 2023
Economic and Market Review: Long-Term Optimism Amid Short-Term Headwinds
While the rally in mega-cap growth stocks has helped delay the next downturn, we reaffirm our emphasis on low-beta portfolios, higher earnings quality and defensive sectors.
Equity Market Outlook
April 2023
Economic and Market Review: Continue to Recommend Defensive Positioning, Focus on Quality
What happens when the lowest interest rates in 400 years meet the fastest hikes in 100?
Equity Market Outlook
January 2023
Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations For Equity Investors
After rising interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical turmoil pounded equity investors in 2022, we believe macroeconomic indicators offer equity investors little to cheer about in the first quarter of 2023.
Equity Market Outlook
October 2022
Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We put out a cautious Equity Market Outlook three months ago, and after a quarter of worsening economic data and inflation trends we are now even more focused on low beta and high earnings quality.
Equity Market Outlook
July 2022
Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We see increasing likelihood of a recession, but even if we avoid one, we think the coming months are going to feel like a recession as the decline in stock market valuations in the first half of the year are likely followed by a decline in corporate earnings in the second half.
Equity Market Outlook
April 2022
Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We believe the conflict in Ukraine may turn out to be less critical for equity markets than the upcoming turn we anticipate in the economic growth cycle.
Equity Market Outlook
January 2022
Economic and Market Review: Key Considerations for Equity Investors
We believe positive fundamentals are likely to outweigh pandemic, valuation and slowdown concerns in the first half of 2022.